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There have been 13 other market selloffs during the second year of a bull market since 1946, Belski noted. AdvertisementFollowing its 2021 pullback, the S&P 500 finished the second year of its bull market up 22.6% and 11.5% higher than its nadir. Valuations are still historically high, and mega-cap growth companies continue to make up a disproportionately large share of the S&P 500. Since Belski thinks this bull market has legs, he doesn't want to forgo future upside. These firms have higher earnings growth than the median S&P 500 name and also have lower price-to-earnings (P/E) and P/E-to-growth (PEG) ratios — a recipe for success.
Persons: , pales, Keith Lerner, Truist, Lerner, who've, Brian Belski, he's, Belski, selloffs Organizations: Service, Business, BMO Capital Markets, selloffs
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailS&P 500 should end 2024 at current levels around our price target of 5,100, says BMO's Brian BelskiBrian Belski, BMO Capital Markets chief market strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what Belski expects from equity performance, if bond yields change Belski's long-term market thesis, and more.
Persons: Brian Belski Brian Belski Organizations: BMO Capital Markets
Winmill expects shares to rise 114% to 4.50 Canadian dollars ($3.27) from current levels. Arizona Metals's stock has a consensus price target of 6 Canadian dollars, representing a potential upside of 185%, according to FactSet data. BMO Capital Markets analyst Rene Cartier has a price target of 6.50 Canadian dollars on the stock, giving it upside potential of 209%. Beacon Securities analyst Bereket Berhe, meanwhile, has set a price target of 10.50 Canadian dollars, suggesting a potential upside of 400%. This makes Scotiabank's price target the most conservative among analysts polled by FactSet.
Persons: Kay, bode, Eric Winmill, Winmill, Rene Cartier, Bereket Berhe Organizations: Arizona Metals Corp, Scotiabank —, Scotiabank, AMC, Arizona Metals's, BMO Capital, Beacon Securities, FactSet Locations: Canadian, Phoenix , Arizona, United States, Arizona
Tesla : Shares fell more than 4% after the electric vehicle maker issued another round of price cuts in major markets including the U.S., Germany and China. I think you have to wait to see what they say rather than make a judgement," Jim Cramer said. Cisco Systems : JPMorgan analysts resumed coverage of Cisco Systems with a neutral rating and $53 price target, citing a muted medium-term earnings growth outlook. Verizon : Shares fell nearly 3% after the telecommunications giant delivered an earnings beat and lost fewer-than-expected wireless subscribers in the three months ended March 31. Papa John's : Shares rose about 1.5% after analysts at Stifel upgraded the pizza chain to hold from sell, contending expectations are reasonable.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Tesla, Jim Cramer, Chuck Robbins, Cramer, John's, Papa Organizations: CNBC, Club, Cisco Systems, JPMorgan, Verizon, BMO Capital Markets, Seattle, Stifel Locations: U.S, Germany, China, New Jersey, Papa John's
Analyst Laura Champine also lowered her price target to $80 from $85, implying a 6% increase for the stock. "New York City office is one of the few REIT subsectors seeing improved demand," the analyst wrote. The bank double-upgraded the e-commerce platform to overweight from underweight and hiked its price target to $62 from $35. Feather added that eBay stock is currently trading at a discount versus peers, with Etsy trading around 35% higher. "JetBlue's DNA aligns with our broader preference for loyalty, premium, and international exposure ... albeit with less vigor than the Big 3," the analyst wrote.
Persons: TD Cowen, Morgan Stanley, Needham, Laura Martin, Andy, Martin, — Jesse Pound, Laura Champine, Champine, — Lisa Kailai Han, Tesla, Emmanuel Rosner, Elon Musk, Rosner, Fred Imbert, John Kim, Kim, SLG, KeyBanc, Eric Heath, Heath, Nathan Feather, Feather, James West's, West, Jamie Baker, Baker, Lisa Kailai Han, Matthew Ramsay, Ramsay Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Amazon, Wholesale, BJ's Wholesale, Deutsche Bank, Tesla, Reuters, BMO Capital Markets, Green Realty, New York City, SL Green Realty, SL Green, SL, KeyBanc, eBay, EBAY, GE, ISI, GE Vernova, General Electric, JPMorgan, JetBlue JPMorgan, JetBlue, Jetblue, Technology, NVIDIA, Match Group Locations: China, Manhattan, York City, Wednesday's, York
Investors are stepping up bets against a broad collection of stocks as the broader market gets increasingly volatile following another hotter-than-expected March inflation report . Stocks sold off and Treasury yields jumped Wednesday when inflation was shown to be under less control than investors had counted on. Unfortunately, the latest economic numbers suggest no need for the Federal Reserve to take its foot off the interest rate brakes. B. Riley Financial is also seeing large short interest, amounting to almost 76% of its float. Other stocks with high short interest include ImmunityBio and Sunnova Energy.
Persons: Stocks, SunPower, Riley Organizations: Treasury, Bank of America, BMO Capital Markets, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Riley, Riley Financial, Securities and Exchange Commission, Nomura, Sunnova Energy
Sales of some Eli Lilly drugs — including its best-selling product last year — appear to be softening, according to Wall Street analysts. JPMorgan flagged similar trends for Trulicity, which led all Lilly drugs with $7.13 billion in sales for all of 2023. The thesis is predicated on Eli Lilly growing faster than the broader pharmaceutical industry for years to come. Over the past three years, shares of Eli Lilly have soared nearly 300%, compared with a 24% gain for the S & P 500 . A box of the drug trulicity, made by Eli Lilly Pharmaceutical, sits on a counter at a pharmacy in Provo, Utah, January 9, 2020.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Wells, Lilly, Mounjaro, Jim Cramer, tirzepatide, Zepbound, Eli Lilly's, Novo, Wegovy, drugmaker, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Eli Lilly Pharmaceutical, George Frey Organizations: Wall Street, JPMorgan, Club, Novo Nordisk, Novo, BMO Capital Markets, Drug Administration, FDA, The Club, CNBC Locations: Wells Fargo, Trulicity, Tirzepatide, Danish, Lilly, Provo , Utah
Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Netflix to $700 from $600. 7:13 a.m.: JPMorgan cuts Boeing price target, but says demand should push strong long-term growth Investors shouldn't give up on Boeing as a long-term investment, according to JPMorgan. Analyst Seth Seifman lowered his price target by $20 to $210, implying 21.1% potential upside for shares of the aerospace company. He raised his target price by $14 to $62, which suggests 4.2% potential upside for DocuSign over the next year. The analyst kept his neutral rating on the stock but cut his price target by $16 to $180.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Seth Seifman, Seifman, — Pia Singh, Evan Seigerman, Seigerman, Karl Keirstead, DocuSign, Keirstead, Itay Michaeli, Michaeli, Tesla, Elon Musk, Benjamin Swinburne, Swinburne, Wolfe, Shreyas Patil, Patil, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Netflix, Wolfe Research, JPMorgan, Boeing, Novo Nordisk, BMO Capital Markets BMO Capital, pharma, UBS, Adobe, Citi, Citi Research, Tesla, Netflix Netflix, Mobileye Locations: China, Novo, U.S, Netflix's
The Fed might have to self-induce a recession if it wants to reach its target inflation rate, a BMO strategist said. Ian Lyngen told Bloomberg TV that the Fed might find its current monetary policy to not be restrictive enough. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe latest inflation report not only sent bond yields soaring and stocks plunging, it may also have put the US back on track for a recession, one economist told Bloomberg TV on Thursday.
Persons: Ian Lyngen, Organizations: BMO, Bloomberg, Service, Federal Reserve, Federal, BMO Capital Markets, Business
Dollar Tree believed acquiring Family Dollar would help it compete against larger rivals. “When Dollar Tree bought Family Dollar, they didn’t really know what they were doing,” D’Arezzo said. Many Family Dollar stores were located too close to each other and cannibalized each other’s own sales, too, D’Arezzo said. Family Dollar “needs more work than the company originally thought.”A year later, an activist investor pushed for a sale of the “underperforming” Family Dollar business, and Family Dollar announced it would close 390 stores. Dollar Tree and Family Dollar executives say Family Dollar can still succeed, however.
Persons: Dollar, Ron Holman, ” Neil Saunders, GlobalData, , , David D’Arezzo, Rick Dreiling, Kelly Bania, Carl Icahn, Nelson Peltz —, ” D’Arezzo, D’Arezzo, Dreiling Organizations: New, New York CNN, Visalia Times, USA, Dollar, BMO Capital Markets, , Street, Justice Department, Bloomberg, Walmart, Costco Locations: New York, West Coast and Texas, West Memphis, , California , Nevada , Arizona, Texas, California
US stocks could be stuck in quicksand for the rest of 2024 despite robust earnings growth, but investors shouldn't panic. Wall Street expects double-digit earnings growth in 2024. The consensus estimate for S&P 500 profits is about $244, which would be up from $220 in 2023. The so-called SMID-cap cohort lagged its larger peers again in the first quarter, posting a solid 7.6% total return, while the S&P 500 surged 10.6%, including dividends. Six sell-side research analysts cover the typical stock in the SMID-cap S&P 1000 index compared to 17 analysts for the average S&P 500 member, Belski wrote.
Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel Organizations: Business, BMO Capital Markets, BMO
Eric Baradat | AFP | Getty ImagesA hotter-than-expected consumer price index reading rattled markets Wednesday, but markets are buzzing about an even more specific prices gauge contained within the data — the so-called supercore inflation reading. Along with the overall inflation measure, economists also look at the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, to find the true trend. The supercore gauge, which also excludes shelter and rent costs from its services reading, takes it even a step further. Today, he added, the picture is more complicated because some of the most stubborn components of services inflation are household necessities like car and housing insurance as well as property taxes. Sticky inflation problem
Persons: Jerome Powell, Eric Baradat, Tom Fitzpatrick, Fitzpatrick, Dow Jones, Stephen Stanley, Ian Lyngen, we're Organizations: AFP, Getty, O'Brien & Associates, Dow, Santander U.S, Wall, CPI, BMO Capital Markets, Fed Locations: Washington ,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCopper could reach 'very high' price targets — but only temporarily, researcher saysColin Hamilton, managing director of commodities research at BMO Capital Markets, discusses the outlook for industrial metals.
Persons: Colin Hamilton Organizations: BMO Capital Markets
To be sure, late payments don't always signal financial troubles. Creditsafe spokesperson Ragini Bhalla said payment data is only one factor the firm considers when assessing a company's financial health. Though the data "doesn't represent a company's total trading behavior, analysis has proven that it is hugely predictive of a company's financial health and creditworthiness," Bhalla said. "When the number of late payments increases like this, it's often indicative of financial challenges and poor cash flow forecasting," Creditsafe said. While Saks often made late payments last year, its on-time payments have dropped significantly since October 2023, the firm said.
Persons: Saul Loeb, Perry Mandarino, Mandarino, Creditsafe, Ragini Bhalla, Bhalla, Barry McCarthy, Simeon Siegel, Siegel, he's, Peloton's DPO, Marc Metrick, Metrick, Mark Still, Stewart Glendinning, Tim Baxter Organizations: Saks, Washington , D.C, AFP, Getty, Bed, RadioShack, CNBC, Retailers, Body, Body Works, Riley Securities, BMO Capital Markets, Business of Fashion, HBC, Express, Street, Creditsafe, Economic Security, IRS, New York Stock Exchange, Bath Locations: Washington ,, Express, Creditsafe, U.S
Here's why BMO's Simeon Siegel favors Nike and Lululemon
  + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why BMO's Simeon Siegel favors Nike and LululemonSimeon Siegel, BMO Capital Markets retail analyst, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss his optimism towards Nike and Lululemon, how impacted the consumer is by the cumulative effect of rate hikes, and more.
Persons: BMO's Simeon Siegel, Lululemon Simeon Siegel Organizations: Nike, BMO Capital Markets
Since the start of the year, the S & P MidCap 400 index and S & P SmallCap 600 index have added 8.2% and 0.2%, respectively. The large-cap S & P 500, meanwhile, has gained roughly 9.5%. March has proved to be a better month for so-called SMID-cap stocks, however, with the S & P MidCap 400 gaining about 4%, while its large-cap counterpart has added 2.4%. To play this trend, he listed several stocks in BMO's SMID-cap universe that the firm rates as outperform. Other top stocks included in BMO's SMID-cap coverage include social media company Snap , discount retailer Ross Stores and electric power and natural gas supplier Constellation Energy .
Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, Piper Sandler, Thomas Champion, Morgan Stanley, Keith Bachman Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, BMO, BMO's, Software, BMO Capital, Ross Stores, Constellation Energy Locations: Tuesday's, Real
Brian Belski of BMO Capital Markets was one of the market's most bullish strategists heading into 2024. Market breadth is markedly better in the last few months, according to BMO Capital Markets. For most of 2023, US stocks were disproportionately driven by growth stocks, specifically a handful of top performers. BMO Capital MarketsBelow are 20 stocks with an outperform rating from BMO Capital Markets that look attractive due to their GARP, quality, or value attributes. Along with each name is its ticker, market capitalization, sector, and group or groups that it fits into, according to BMO Capital Markets.
Persons: Brian Belski, It's, Belski, Sharpe Organizations: Business, BMO Capital Markets, Bank, BMO Capital, BMO
Impelled in large part by TikTok to seek beauty products meant for adults, younger customers — teenagers and even preadolescents — are proving to be a mixed blessing for retailers like Sephora and Ulta. Retail analysts say that as the beauty stores attract a new generation of shoppers, they will need to make sure that the experience remains fulfilling for their older, core customers — including some who may not enjoy stores full of tweens and teens. “So much of luxury and prestige is the experience,” said Simeon Siegel, a retail analyst at BMO Capital Markets. “Making an adult feel special is very different than making a college student feel special, which is dramatically different than making a tween feel special. The survey found that teenage respondents spent 23 percent more on cosmetics, skin care and fragrance in 2023 than the year before.
Persons: TikTok, , Simeon Siegel, Piper Sandler Organizations: Retail, BMO Capital Markets, Ulta Locations: United States
The utilities sector is living in the shadows of mega-cap tech, but a power player name is emerging — and it's toting year-to-date gains of more than 40%. Constellation Energy , headquartered in Baltimore, is the top winner in the utilities sector in 2024, with NRG Energy in a distant second place with a 22.7% advance. Indeed, the utilities sector and real estate are the two laggards of the S & P 500 , down about 1% and 3.5% in 2024, respectively. CEG XLU 1Y line Constellation Energy versus the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund over the past year Constellation, which currently has a dividend yield of 0.8%, isn't your father's utility. So-called 24/7 carbon-free power involves purchasing electricity generation from the same region where a corporate client will use it.
Persons: it's, CEG, James Thalacker, It's, Daniel Eggers, Sophie Karp, BMO's, Joseph Dominguez, Steve Fleishman, Ross Fowler Organizations: Constellation Energy, NRG Energy, Utilities, SPDR Fund, BMO Capital, Atlantic City Electric, Baltimore Gas and Electric, Delmarva Power, Constellation, Microsoft, Wolfe Research, Republican, UBS Locations: Baltimore, Virginia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're excessively worried about markets from a sentiment perspective, says BMO's Brian BelskiBrian Belski, BMO Capital Markets chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Belski's overall attitude towards equity markets, if the market's placing too much priority on Federal reserve rate cuts, and more.
Persons: Brian Belski Brian Belski Organizations: BMO Capital Markets
Global mergers and acquisition activity will soar this year, and several names could benefit from the comeback, according to Morgan Stanley. The firm expects global M & A volume activity to rise by 50% this year compared to 2023. "We believe that a cyclical and structural rebound in M & A is coming," Morgan Stanley said in a note titled "Stocks with Elevated Likelihood of Receiving an Offer," which was released Monday. Morgan Stanley pointed out that 2021 to 2023 could have seen a drop of activity worth between $4 trillion and $11 trillion. Morgan Stanley said it has no information about M & A activity involving the companies.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Stephen Ju, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Health, Sarepta Therapeutics, Tenet Healthcare, Analysts, BMO Capital Markets, UBS, Hertz Global Holdings Locations: Europe
New York CNN —America’s gyms are adjusting their strategies as more of their members take weight loss drugs. JPMorgan researchers estimate that 30 million people may be taking GLP-1 drugs by 2030, or around 9% of the US population. For now, GLP-1 medications are prohibitively expensive for most Americans, costing about $1,000 or more a month. (Ozempic has not been approved for weight loss by regulators, though Wegovy, a similar drug, has.) It also made a $100 million-plus deal to buy Sequence, a telehealth business that offers virtual prescriptions to patients for these weight loss drugs where appropriate.
Persons: , Simeon Siegel, Bahram Akradi, , Amanda Edwards, ” Siegel, Rick Caro, Jaap Arriens, WeightWatchers Organizations: New, New York CNN, Boomers, JPMorgan, Fitness, BMO Capital Markets, Management, Industries Locations: New York, Ozempic, Barre, Southern California
How Hermes Became the Ultimate Status Symbol
  + stars: | 2024-02-24 | by ( Madeline Berg | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +11 min
Now, its shares are also hot commodities, with their performance outpacing bigger luxury brands like Louis Vuitton owner LVMH and Gucci-maker Kering. "The curse of retail is everyone chases more," Simeon Siegel, a senior retail analyst at BMO Capital Markets, told Business Insider about luxury brands. "Brand equity is much more diluted than Hermès'," Herzog said of brands like Gucci and Louis Vuitton. Hermès is 'fairly recession-proof'Keeping it simple has helped Hermès hold its own as luxury brands start to lose their shine after a multiyear spending boom. It also announced it will expand the Saint Junien facility in New Aquitaine (also France) which makes Kelly and Birkin bags.
Persons: Hermès, Louis Vuitton, LVMH, Kering's, hasn't, it's, Axel Dumas, Simeon Siegel, Siegel, Birkin, , waitlists, Edward Berthelot, there's, Hitha Herzog, Nicole Pollard Bayme, Kelly, Versace, Herzog, Gucci, Saint Laurent, Bernstein, Luca Solca, Chanel, Solca, Winston Chesterfield, Barton, That's, Williamsburg , Brooklyn —, Axel, Pierre, Alexis Dumas —, Bernard Arnault's LVMH, Dumas, Barton's Chesterfield, They've, Cousins Axel Dumas, Alexis Dumas, Rodrigo Vaz, Thierry Hermès, they've, We're Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, Capri Holdings, North, Gucci Locations: Hermès, London, China, France, Louviers, Ardennes, New Aquitaine, Aspen , Colorado, Naples, Florida, Nanjing, Princeton , New Jersey, Williamsburg , Brooklyn
How Hermès became the ultimate status symbol
  + stars: | 2024-02-24 | by ( Madeline Berg | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +11 min
A cashmere throw blanket splashed with the letter H. For years, Hermès' iconic products have been coveted by those in the know. Now, its shares are also hot commodities, with their performance outpacing bigger luxury brands like Louis Vuitton owner LVMH and Gucci-maker Kering. "Brand equity is much more diluted than Hermès'," Herzog said of brands like Gucci and Louis Vuitton. Hermès is 'fairly recession-proof'Keeping it simple has helped Hermès hold its own as luxury brands start to lose their shine after a multiyear spending boom. It also announced it will expand the Saint Junien facility in New Aquitaine (also France) which makes Kelly and Birkin bags.
Persons: Hermès, Louis Vuitton, LVMH, Kering's, hasn't, it's, Axel Dumas, Simeon Siegel, Siegel, Birkin, , waitlists, Edward Berthelot, there's, Hitha Herzog, Nicole Pollard Bayme, Kelly, Versace, Herzog, Gucci, Saint Laurent, Bernstein, Luca Solca, Chanel, Solca, Winston Chesterfield, Barton, That's, Williamsburg , Brooklyn —, Axel, Pierre, Alexis Dumas —, Bernard Arnault's LVMH, Dumas, Barton's Chesterfield, They've, Cousins Axel Dumas, Alexis Dumas, Rodrigo Vaz, Thierry Hermès, they've, We're Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, Capri Holdings, North, Gucci Locations: Hermès, London, China, France, Louviers, Ardennes, New Aquitaine, Aspen , Colorado, Naples, Florida, Nanjing, Princeton , New Jersey, Williamsburg , Brooklyn
Here are Thursday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Morgan Stanley raises Nvidia price target Morgan Stanley increased its price target on shares to $795 from $750 after the chipmaker's earnings announcement. " UBS reiterates Nvidia as buy, but trims price target UBS reiterated its buy rating on Nvidia but reduced its price target to $800 from $850. Morgan Stanley upgrades DoorDash to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley's upgrade comes after the stock fell around 10% since its earnings report on Feb. 15. Morgan Stanley reiterates overweight rating on Rivian Automative Morgan Stanley kept its overweight rating on Rivian , but cited concerns on the company's outlook. Jefferies reiterates Sunrun as buy Jefferies also raised its price target on Sunrun to $31 from $25, implying shares nearly doubling from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Nvidia Goldman, Morgan, Rivian, Automative Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, Sunrun, Bernstein, Wendy's, Wendy, TD Cowen, Cowen, COTY, Cantor Fitzgerald, Root, Cantor, Remitly Organizations: NVIDIA, UBS, Nvidia, Data Center, RBC, Rivian Automotive, EV, Petrobras, ITC, Coty, BMO, Markets Locations: Argentine, China, Brazil, 2024E
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